01 Starting advantages
6/24 starting-position score
Strongest documented signals: Direct domain exposure, Elite institution pipeline, Frontier geography.
Describes the starting position, not what the person later made of it.
Cohort percentile: 25
Jan Raas
Athletes · Cycling · milestone at age 23 ·T2 Field-leading
Milestone (age 23)
Won the Dutch National Road Race Championship in 1976 at age 23 and the Milan-San Remo Monument in 1977 at age 24, establishing himself as an elite classics specialist.
Raas turned professional in 1975 with TI-Raleigh and quickly established himself as a gifted sprinter and classics specialist. He won the Dutch National Road Race Championship in 1976, then claimed his first Monument at Milan-San Remo in 1977, followed by the first of his five Amstel Gold Race victories the same year.
Starting point
Born in Heinkenszand, Netherlands; family background not documented in reviewed sources.
Current position (2025)
Retired former professional cyclist and team manager; guided teams including Buckler and Rabobank; served as Netherlands national cycling coach.
How this path compounded
02 Built or converted leverage
12/25 multiplying-capacity score
Strongest observed levers:Domain proximity, Started serious reps before 20, Prior reps.
Measures what was present, not whether it was inherited, earned, self-built, external, or mixed.
Cohort percentile: 58
03 Compounding trajectory
6 documented steps
The timeline below shows the sequence of work and transitions around the selected early milestone. It is evidence of a path, not proof that every step was necessary.
Milestone at age 23
04 Observed career standing
T2 · Field-leading
Dominant figure at the top of a field. The tier summarizes documented career recognition through the data cutoff—not Jan Raas's worth or future potential.
Question four · where did the leverage come from?
Jan Raas's leverage provenance
Each non-zero lever gets a best-supported origin, evidence signals, and confidence. Unresolved is the honest default when the biography cannot distinguish self-built, advantage-enabled, earned, external, or mixed.
Started serious reps before 201/1
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence
One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.
Dedicated mentor / coach (1/2)Elite institution pipeline (1/2)
Domain proximity2/2
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence
One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.
Direct domain exposure (2/2)Frontier geography (1/2)Elite institution pipeline (1/2)
Prior reps2/3
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence
One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.
Dedicated mentor / coach (1/2)Elite institution pipeline (1/2)
Scarce skill depth2/3
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence
One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.
Dedicated mentor / coach (1/2)Elite institution pipeline (1/2)
Concentration intensity2/3
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence
One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.
Dedicated mentor / coach (1/2)
Complementary team1/2
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence
One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.
Elite institution pipeline (1/2)
Elite ecosystem network1/3
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence
One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.
Elite institution pipeline (1/2)Frontier geography (1/2)
Structural wave / timing1/3
Externalmedium confidence
A structural wave is external to the person, even when their position improved access to it.
Frontier geography (1/2)
This is a bounded inference from the current annotations—not a claim about private effort, merit, or the percentage of Jan Raas's outcome attributable to any origin.
Structural luck, Encounter luck, Event luck, Outcome variance can change every arrow in the path. This successful-only dataset cannot observe the near-identical paths that did not break through, so luck stays visible and unscored.
Within Athletes, Jan Raas's starting-advantage total is at the 25th percentile. Separately, their built or converted leverage total is at the 58th percentile. Other T2 profiles average 7.9 / 24 starting advantage and 12.3 / 25 leverage. Similar scores appear in other tiers, so these figures describe positioning—not a cause.
Trajectory
- 1975 · age 23Turned professional with TI-RaleighBeginning his elite cycling career.
- 1976 · age 24Won the Dutch National Road Race ChampionshipThe first of three national titles.
- 1977 · age 24Won Milan-San Remo, his first MonumentAnd the first of five Amstel Gold Race victories.
- 1979 · age 26Won the World Road Race Championship in ValkenburgThe Tour of Flanders.
- 1982 · age 29Won Paris-Roubaix, cementing his statusOne of the great classics riders.
- 1985 · age 32Retired from professional cycling and transitioned toTeam management.
Primary leverage engine
Physical talent
Physical / athletic talent
Secondary engine
Execution / operations
Built/converted leverage
12 / 25
evidence: Medium
Built or converted leverage
Multiplying capacity documented later in the path. Measures what was present, not whether it was inherited, earned, self-built, external, or mixed.
Starting-advantage scores (0–2 each)
Access or conditions documented near the beginning of the path. Zero means "no clear evidence in reviewed sources," not "advantage was absent."
Family context
Not documented in reviewed sources beyond being born in Heinkenszand, Netherlands.
Parent / family domain
Not documented in reviewed sources.
Archetype & tags
Elite performance pipelineTI-Raleigh teamPeter Post mentorshipDutch cycling ecosystemsprinter talent
Evidence summary
Raas turned professional in 1975 with TI-Raleigh, a top Dutch cycling team, under the mentorship of director Peter Post. His natural sprinting ability and tactical sense led to rapid success: the Dutch National Championship in 1976 and his first Monument at Milan-San Remo in 1977, both before age 25. The Dutch cycling ecosystem and the strong TI-Raleigh team structure provided the competitive environment for his early breakthrough.
advantage confidence: Medium · source count: 4 · audit: not_independently_audited · status: subagent_researched_beta
Sources
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Leverage 18/25T2
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Leverage 17/25T1
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Leverage 17/25T2
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Leverage 16/25T1
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Leverage 16/25T1