01 Starting advantages
7/24 starting-position score
Strongest documented signals: Direct domain exposure, Elite institution pipeline, Frontier geography.
Describes the starting position, not what the person later made of it.
Cohort percentile: 38
Careca
Athletes · Soccer · milestone at age 18 ·T2 Field-leading
Milestone (age 18)
Won the Brazilian Championship (Série A) with Guarani in his first professional season in 1978 at age 18, and by age 26 led São Paulo to the 1986 Brazilian Championship while winning the Bola de Ouro as Brazilian Footballer of the Year.
Born in Araraquara, São Paulo state, Careca began his professional career with Guarani in 1978, immediately winning the Brazilian Championship in his first season. He moved to São Paulo in 1983 and became one of Brazil's most prolific strikers, leading São Paulo to the 1986 Brazilian Championship and earning the Bola de Ouro award.
Starting point
Born in 1960 in Araraquara, São Paulo state, Brazil; family background not documented in reviewed sources.
Current position (2025)
Retired former professional footballer; last known residing in Brazil; career included 64 caps for Brazil national team (1982-1993) and notable spells at Napoli alongside Diego Maradona.
How this path compounded
02 Built or converted leverage
13/25 multiplying-capacity score
Strongest observed levers:Domain proximity, Started serious reps before 20, Prior reps.
Measures what was present, not whether it was inherited, earned, self-built, external, or mixed.
Cohort percentile: 80
03 Compounding trajectory
7 documented steps
The timeline below shows the sequence of work and transitions around the selected early milestone. It is evidence of a path, not proof that every step was necessary.
Milestone at age 18
04 Observed career standing
T2 · Field-leading
Dominant figure at the top of a field. The tier summarizes documented career recognition through the data cutoff—not Careca's worth or future potential.
Question four · where did the leverage come from?
Careca's leverage provenance
Each non-zero lever gets a best-supported origin, evidence signals, and confidence. Unresolved is the honest default when the biography cannot distinguish self-built, advantage-enabled, earned, external, or mixed.
Started serious reps before 201/1
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence
One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.
Dedicated mentor / coach (1/2)Elite institution pipeline (1/2)
Domain proximity2/2
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence
One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.
Direct domain exposure (2/2)Frontier geography (1/2)Elite institution pipeline (1/2)
Prior reps2/3
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence
One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.
Dedicated mentor / coach (1/2)Elite institution pipeline (1/2)
Scarce skill depth2/3
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence
One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.
Dedicated mentor / coach (1/2)Elite institution pipeline (1/2)
Concentration intensity2/3
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence
One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.
Dedicated mentor / coach (1/2)
Complementary team1/2
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence
One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.
Exceptional peer / cofounder (1/2)Elite institution pipeline (1/2)
Native distribution1/3
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence
One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.
Elite institution pipeline (1/2)
Elite ecosystem network1/3
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence
One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.
Elite institution pipeline (1/2)Frontier geography (1/2)Exceptional peer / cofounder (1/2)
Structural wave / timing1/3
Externalmedium confidence
A structural wave is external to the person, even when their position improved access to it.
Frontier geography (1/2)
This is a bounded inference from the current annotations—not a claim about private effort, merit, or the percentage of Careca's outcome attributable to any origin.
Structural luck, Encounter luck, Event luck, Outcome variance can change every arrow in the path. This successful-only dataset cannot observe the near-identical paths that did not break through, so luck stays visible and unscored.
Within Athletes, Careca's starting-advantage total is at the 38th percentile. Separately, their built or converted leverage total is at the 80th percentile. Other T2 profiles average 7.9 / 24 starting advantage and 12.3 / 25 leverage. Similar scores appear in other tiers, so these figures describe positioning—not a cause.
Trajectory
- 1978 · age 18Began professional careerGuarani and won the Brazilian Championship (Série A) in his first season.
- 1983 · age 23Signed by São Paulo FC, continuingOne of Brazil's most prolific strikers.
- 1986 · age 26Led São Paulo to the Brazilian Championship and won the Bola de OuroBrazilian Footballer of the Year.
- 1987 · age 27Transferred to Napoli in ItalyJoining Diego Maradona to form one of Europe's most formidable attacking partnerships.
- 1989 · age 29Helped Napoli win the Serie A title and the UEFA CupScoring crucial goals.
- 1990 · age 30Represented Brazil at the 1990 FIFA World Cup in Italy.
- 1999 · age 39Retired from professional football after final stintSão José-RS.
Primary leverage engine
Physical talent and finishing ability
Physical / athletic talent
Secondary engine
Early specialization / prior reps
Built/converted leverage
13 / 25
evidence: High
Built or converted leverage
Multiplying capacity documented later in the path. Measures what was present, not whether it was inherited, earned, self-built, external, or mixed.
Starting-advantage scores (0–2 each)
Access or conditions documented near the beginning of the path. Zero means "no clear evidence in reviewed sources," not "advantage was absent."
Family context
Born in Araraquara, São Paulo state, Brazil; family background not extensively documented in reviewed sources.
Parent / family domain
Not documented in reviewed sources.
Archetype & tags
Self-created domain repetitionBrazilian-Championship-1978Guarani-to-Sao-PauloBola-de-Ouro-1986prolific-striker
Evidence summary
Careca was born in Araraquara, Brazil in 1960 and began his professional football career with Guarani in 1978 at age 18, immediately winning the Brazilian Championship in his first season. His prolific finishing and pace quickly established him as one of Brazil's best young strikers. He moved to São Paulo in 1983 and by 1986 led the club to another Brazilian Championship while winning the Bola de Ouro as the country's Footballer of the Year, all before age 26. Family background details are not documented in reviewed sources.
advantage confidence: Medium · source count: 2 · audit: not_independently_audited · status: subagent_researched_beta
Sources
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