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Documented path

Albán Vermes

Athletes · Other Sports · milestone at age 16 ·Professionally distinctive
Selected age-relative milestone · age 16
Won the Hungarian youth championship in 200m breaststroke at age 16 (1973), followed by his first senior national championship at 17 (1975) and an Olympic silver medal at 23 (1980).

Born in Eger, Hungary, Vermes learned to swim at age six and began competing at ten. He won a youth championship at 16 and his first senior national title at 17. He joined Tamás Széchy's elite training group at 20, improving his 200m time by seven seconds in two years, leading to a sixth-place finish at the 1978 World Championship and Olympic silver in 1980.

Starting point

Born in Eger, Hungary to a family of modest means; father was an amateur sports fan who encouraged swimming, mother's occupation not documented.

Current position (2021 · deceased)

Died on 3 February 2021 at age 63 in Budapest; final role: swimming pool manager and Hungarian Swimming Association board member.

Where the conditions came from

Three sources, read side by side

Each is placed on a −1 to 3 scale from documented evidence, and the three are never added together. A combined total would rank Albán Vermes against other people. Held apart, they explain why this path ran differently from another one—which is the only comparison this project supports.

The marble itself

What they brought

+1Tailwind

What capability, drive, or early skill is documented in the person rather than their surroundings?

Learned to swim at 6, began competing at 10, won youth championship at 16 and senior national title at 17. Solid early development but not prodigy-level; significant improvement came later under elite coaching.

Where it was dropped

What they were handed

+1Tailwind

What money, family standing, network, or permission was already in place before the work began?

Father, an amateur sports fan, encouraged him to start swimming at 6. Family relocated closer to a pool to enable training. Modest but supportive family environment.

The shape of the track

What surrounded them

+2Tailwind

What place, timing, institution, or peer group made the next step available?

Joined Tamás Széchy's elite training group at 20, which improved his 200m time by seven seconds in two years. Újpesti TE club and the Hungarian swimming system provided elite coaching and competitive infrastructure.

A −1 is a documented headwind, not a missing value; a 0 means the sources record nothing notable either way. Annotation confidence: Medium. These are analyst readings of what the sources record, not measurements of merit, talent, or effort. The twenty-two scored dimensions remain available inside the deeper research detail.

What moved through the conditions

Perseverance and luck stay visible—not scored.

Documented perseveranceHe joined Tamás Széchy's elite training group at 20, improving his 200m time by seven seconds in two years, leading to a sixth-place finish at the 1978 World Championship and Olympic silver in 1980.

This records repeated behaviour or recovery described by sources; it is not a grit or merit score.

Luck and unobserved varianceNo discrete luck event is documented in the reviewed biographical summaries.

A successful-only archive cannot recover all encounters, avoided setbacks, or alternative outcomes.

Open the legacy 22-field research annotation
How this path compounded
01 Starting advantages

7/24 starting-position score

Strongest documented signals: Parent / family domain, Elite institution pipeline, Frontier geography.

Describes the starting position, not what the person later made of it.

Cohort percentile: 34
02 Built or converted leverage

7/25 multiplying-capacity score

Strongest observed levers: Started serious reps before 20, Prior reps, Domain proximity.

Measures what was present, not whether it was inherited, earned, self-built, external, or mixed.

Cohort percentile: 2
03 Compounding trajectory

8 documented steps

The timeline below shows the sequence of work and transitions around the selected early milestone. It is evidence of a path, not proof that every step was necessary.

Milestone at age 16
04 Observed career standing

T3 · Domain-recognized

Notable and widely recognized within the domain. The tier summarizes documented career recognition through the data cutoff—not Albán Vermes's worth or future potential.

Question four · where did the leverage come from?

Albán Vermes's leverage provenance

Each non-zero lever gets a best-supported origin, evidence signals, and confidence. Unresolved is the honest default when the biography cannot distinguish self-built, advantage-enabled, earned, external, or mixed.

Started serious reps before 201/1
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence

One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.

Parent / family domain (1/2)Dedicated mentor / coach (1/2)Elite institution pipeline (1/2)
Prior reps2/3
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence

One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.

Parent / family domain (1/2)Dedicated mentor / coach (1/2)Elite institution pipeline (1/2)
Domain proximity1/2
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence

One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.

Direct domain exposure (1/2)Parent / family domain (1/2)Frontier geography (1/2)Elite institution pipeline (1/2)
Scarce skill depth1/3
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence

One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.

Parent / family domain (1/2)Dedicated mentor / coach (1/2)Elite institution pipeline (1/2)
Elite ecosystem network1/3
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence

One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.

Parent / family domain (1/2)Elite institution pipeline (1/2)Frontier geography (1/2)
Concentration intensity1/3
Advantage-enabledmedium confidence

One or more documented starting advantages plausibly enabled this lever.

Dedicated mentor / coach (1/2)Adversity / constraint catalyst (1/2)

This is a bounded inference from the current annotations—not a claim about private effort, merit, or the percentage of Albán Vermes's outcome attributable to any origin.

Luck is not a leftover score.

Structural luck, Encounter luck, Event luck, Outcome variance can change every arrow in the path. This successful-only dataset cannot observe the near-identical paths that did not break through, so luck stays visible and unscored.

Within Athletes, Albán Vermes's starting-advantage total is at the 34th percentile. Separately, their built or converted leverage total is at the 2th percentile. Other T3 profiles average 5.3 / 24 starting advantage and 11.0 / 25 leverage. Similar scores appear in other tiers, so these figures describe positioning—not a cause.
Trajectory
  1. 1973 · age 16
    Won the Hungarian youth championship in 200m breaststroke
    Marking his emergence as a competitive swimmer.
  2. 1975 · age 18
    Won his first senior national championship
    The 100m breaststroke.
  3. 1977 · age 20
    Joined Tamás Széchy's elite training group in Budapest
    Rapidly improving his times.
  4. 1980 · age 23
    Won Olympic silver medal in the 200m breaststroke
    The Moscow Olympics.
  5. 1983 · age 26
    Won silver medal in the 200m breaststroke
    The European Championships in Rome.
  6. 1984 · age 27
    Won bronze at the Friendship Games and retired
    Competitive swimming.
  7. 2016 · age 59
    Inducted into the Hungarian Swimming Hall of Fame.
  8. 2021 · age 63
    Died on 3 February 2021 in Budapest
    A short illness.
Primary leverage engine
Swimming training and physical attributes
Early specialization / prior reps
Secondary engine
Elite coaching
Built/converted leverage
7 / 25
evidence: Medium
Built or converted leverage

Multiplying capacity documented later in the path. Measures what was present, not whether it was inherited, earned, self-built, external, or mixed.

Started serious reps before 20
1/1
Prior reps
2/3
Scarce skill depth
1/3
Native distribution
0/3
Elite ecosystem network
1/3
Complementary team
0/2
Structural wave / timing
0/3
Concentration intensity
1/3
Capital safety
0/2
Domain proximity
1/2
Starting-advantage scores (0–2 each)

Access or conditions documented near the beginning of the path. Zero means "no clear evidence in reviewed sources," not "advantage was absent."

Family financial platform
0/2
Parent / family domain
1/2
Inherited audience / network
0/2
Elite institution pipeline
1/2
Frontier geography
1/2
Rare early tools
0/2
Dedicated mentor / coach
1/2
Exceptional peer / cofounder
0/2
Early online platform
0/2
Direct domain exposure
1/2
Prodigy / innate ability
1/2
Adversity / constraint catalyst
1/2

Family context

Father was described as a 'great amateur sport fan' who encouraged Albán to try swimming when the family moved closer to a pool. Family was not wealthy; Albán attended an economics vocational school alongside swimming.

Parent / family domain

Father was an amateur sports enthusiast who directed young Albán toward competitive swimming, though not a swimming specialist himself.

Archetype & tags
Self-created domain repetitionearly swimmingEgeryouth championshipsenior titleSzéchy coachingÚjpesti TE
Evidence summary

Vermes grew up in Eger, Hungary, where his father, an amateur sports fan, encouraged him to start swimming at age six. He began competing at ten—relatively late for elite swimming—and won a youth championship at 16. His father's encouragement and the family's relocation closer to a pool enabled his early training. He joined the elite Újpesti TE club and later Tamás Széchy's training group at 20, where he improved dramatically. His Olympic silver medal at 23 was the culmination of a decade of competitive swimming.

advantage confidence: Medium · source count: 3 · audit: partial_source_verification · status: subagent_researched_beta

Sources
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